Risk 2007Risk 2007
Program

Programme
12 June 2007
8.00 Registration and breakfast
8.30 Editor's opening remarks:
Nick Sawyer, Editor: RISK MAGAZINE
8.40
KEYNOTE
Keynote address:
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Veteran Trader, Author of THE BLACK SWAN
9.20
KEYNOTE
Keynote address :Trends in risk management in the asset management industry
Robert Parker
, Vice Chairman, CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT
10.00 Morning break and opportunity to visit the exhibition hall
Click to go directly to a stream:
Stream 1: Advances in derivatives trading and products
Stream 2: New frontiers in risk management
Stream 3: Latest developments in quantatitative credit risk modelling
STREAM ONE:
Advances in derivatives trading and products
STREAM TWO:
New frontiers in risk management
10.30 Chairman's opening remarks
Steve Kou, Associate Professor, COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY
Chairman's opening remarks
Stephen J. Christie, Partner, Ernst & Young LLP
EXOTIC DERIVATIVES & STRUCTURED PRODUCTS TRADING Risk management challenges for mortgage banks
10.40 Back testing of exposure simulations
  • What are we testing and why: regulator perspective vs. banks prospective;
    models vs. implementation
  • Limitations: long term predictions; EAD – conditional on default
  • The scale of the challenge
  • Practical set up
Vladimir Chorniy, Head Of Counterparty Risk Analytics, Group Risk Management, BNP PARIBAS
Overcoming the risk challenges of speciality finance projects:
infrastructure, energy, renewables
  • Due diligence process and risk issues
  • Qualitative and quantitative measures
  • Scenario analysis and IRR
  • Downside risk
  • Project lifecycle
Vasilios Siokis, Chief Risk Officer, CHEYNE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
11.20 Beating the spread: Modelling interest rate correlation
  • Spread options in the market: from plain vanilla to state-of-the-art
  • Modelling approaches: from Black-Scholes to Libor Market Model
  • Risk management: quantifying risk and practical hedging
Christian J Waite, Quantitative Analyst, Global Markets, BBVA
Risk convergence
From conformance to performance: Achieving value beyond regulatory compliance

  • Unprecedented regulatory change and its influence on new approaches to managing risk
  • Responding to 'Risk fatigue' and the inefficiencies of burgeoning compliance, internal control and risk management programmes
  • Moving towards a converged operating model - a roadmap for financial institutions to improve efficiency through integration, coordination and streamlining

Chris Maher, Principal, Financial Services Risk Management, Ernst & Young

12.00 Covered call strategies
  • Setting
  • Risk/return characteristics
  • Option risk premiums
  • Portfolio considerations
  • Actual implementation
Bas Peeters, Head of Structured Products, ING INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
The uses and implications of enterprise risk budgeting
  • The importance of Enterprise Risk Budgeting as a business management tool
  • The Major Challenge - Data Consolidation
  • The challenge of sparse data sets
  • Economic Capital Calculation for developing economies
David Thomas, Risk Management Product Manager, TEMENOS
12.40 Lunch and an opportunity to visit the exhibition hall
13.50 Guest academic address:
Ioannis Karatzas
, Professor of Applied Probability, COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY
14.30 What is a good risk measure?
  • Controversy of the tail conditional expectation
  • Advantage of using VaR
  • Axioms for VaR
  • Consistency of VaR with market psychology
  • Robustness of VaR
  • A justification of using VaR in Basel II
Steve Kou, Associate Professor, COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY
Managing hedge fund risk: A CRO’s perspective and the right questions to ask as an investor and regulator
  • Transitioning from institutional risk to hedge fund risk
  • Building a risk framework
  • Mistakes made by fund of funds and the question they should be asking
  • Protecting from the Amaranth effect
Harvey Toor, Chief Risk Officer, SQUARE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
REGULATORY VIEW ON TRADING STRATEGIES
15.10 Commission’s review of the commodity derivatives business under MiFID and CDR
  • The main contours of the review and explanation of the Commission call for evidence
  • Commodity and commodity derivatives: two separate markets?
  • What regulation do we need for the commodity derivatives sector?
Jiri Krol, Internal Market DG , EUROPEAN COMMISSION
The unbundling of alpha and beta
  • Examples
  • Structured products including CPPI
  • What is driving this unbundling?
  • What impact is it having on the industry?
  • Do Alpha and Beta always lend themselves to being unbundled?
Malcolm Kemp, Director and Head of Quantitative Research , THREADNEEDLE
15.50 Afternoon break and an opportunity to visit the exhibition hall
16.20 Regulation of the hedge fund and private equity industries
  • Background
  • FSA approach
  • Benefits of “alternatives”
  • HF risks & regulatory approach
  • PE risks & regulatory approach
  • What next?
Bruce Robson, Manager, Asset Management Sector, FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY
Trading costs, the fundamental law of active management, and optimal holding periods
  • Extending the fundamental law of active management to include trading costs
  • Drivers of trading costs: commissions, bid/ask spreads, market impact, and necessary leverage
  • At what point does increasing breadth through shorter holding periods no longer cover trading costs?
Larry Abele, Managing Partner, AURIEL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
17.00 Regulatory requirements for stress testing under Basel II
  • CRD requirements for stress testing
  • Market, liquidity and credit risk stress testing
  • Relationship between Pillar I and II and moving forward to Pillar III
Jérôme Deslandes, Banking and Financial Conglomerates, Internal Market Directorate-General, EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Risk management framework in a fund of hedge fund
  • Dealing with incomplete transparency
  • Segmentation of the risks and completeness of the framework
  • Risk budgeting within the segments
Frederic Berney, Executive Director and CRO, HARCOURT INVESTMENT CONSULTING
17.40
Executive Address
Executive address :
Paul Sharma, Head of Department for Risk Modelling and Review, FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY
18.10 Chairman's closing remarks
18.20 Cocktail reception
19.20 End of day 1
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STREAM THREE:
Latest developments in quantitative credit risk modelling

10.30 Chairman's opening remarks
Claudio Albanese, Professor of Mathematical Finance, IMPERIAL COLLEGE
10.40 If you build it, will they come? Effective structured credit strategy
  • A case-study on how a leading bank executes a successful credit investment strategy
  • Global trends, constraints and challenges

Andrew Sheets, MORGAN STANLEY

11.20 Pricing and hedging portfolio credit derivatives in a dynamic model
  • From the bottom-up to the top-down approach
  • A dynamic version of the Marshall-Olkin model
  • Numerical implementation: asymptotic series expansion
  • Dynamic loss distribution
  • The forward skew
  • Hedging strategies based on quadratic risk minimization
Youssef Elouerkhaoui, Managing Director, Head of Credit Derivatives Quantitative Research, CITIGROUP
12.00 Semi-analytic valuation of credit linked swaps and swaptions in a Black-Karasinski framework
  • Credit linked swaps
  • Generic valuation considerations
  • Positive hazard rates and swaption skew control
  • Forward and swap measure calibration
  • Valuation by conditioning on one of the driving processes
  • Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process path space quadrature
Peter Jaeckel, Head of Credit, Hybrid, Inflation and Commodity Derivative Analytics, ABN AMRO
12.40 Lunch and an opportunity to visit the exhibition hall
13.50
Academic Address
Guest academic address:
Ioannis Karatzas
, Professor of Applied Probability, COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY
14.30 Structural model for credit and equity derivatives and bespoke CDOs
  • Reconciling credit to equity derivatives
  • Volatility sensitive credit derivatives
  • Bespoke CDOs
Claudio Albanese, Professor of Mathematical Finance, IMPERIAL COLLEGE
15.10 Building smile and smile dynamics in BGM/J models
  • Smile risks in fixed income structured products
  • BGM/J models incorporating smile dynamics
  • Smile dynamics impact on pricing and hedging
Dong Qu, Global Head of Quantitative Products Group, Santander Global Banking and Markets, SANTANDER
Frank Mao, Senior Quantitative Analyst, Santander Global Banking and Markets, SANTANDER
15.50 Afternoon break and opportunity to visit the exhibition
CORRELATION DEVELOPMENTS
16.20 Liquidity risk and correlation risk – Implications for risk management
  • Market liquidity risk
  • Funding liquidity risk
  • Causes of liquidity risk
  • Linkage between liquidity risk and correlation risk
  • Recent examples
  • Lessons for risk management: The role of liquidity scenario testing and arrangement of contingent liquidity provisions
Viral Acharya, Associate Professor of Finance, LONDON BUSINESS SCHOOL
17.00 Multi-level quasi Monte Carlo method
  • Quasi Monte Carlo
  • Multi-level method
  • Digital and barrier options
  • Greeks
  • Future challenges
Michael Giles, Professor, Oxford University Computing Laboratory, OXFORD UNIVERSITY
17.40
Executive Address
Executive address:
Paul Sharma, Head of Department for Risk Modelling and Review, FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY
18.20 Chairmans closing remarks
18.30 Cocktail reception
19.30 End of day one
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Risk 2007
Presentation Sponsors
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Stream sponsor
Asset control logo
Co-sponsors
Asset control logo Calypso IPS-Sendero logo Haas school of business Lexfi SuperDerivatives logo NAG logo Reuters logo
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